Saturday, October 25, 2008

Omg! It's Week Five of the elections posts!

  So, a week from Tuesday is the big day.  Some states we already know which way they're swinging, like obviously, most states in New England will go Democrat. So the question is, what are the swing states going to do? This election in particular, Ohio is a big contender swing state. According the Rasmussen Reports, McCain is actually slightly ahead with 49% of votes in polls, and Obama is coming closely behind with 47%. Whoa! That's a close one! Still, that two percent undecided could make all the difference in which candidate will get the electoral votes (of which they have 20!) Although Ohio elected Bush for two terms, they also elected Clinton for his two as well, making it a classic swing state. You just never know what they're going to do. As of now, though. Ohio is sticking with it's Republican beliefs but because the race is so close, it's not like Obama doesn't have a chance. What has helped to decide these votes is comfortability. Most citizens in Ohio said they would not feel comfortable with Obama in the White House. Also, most citizens believe that McCain as the right amount of experience when compared to Obama. What's interesting, and also another reason why this state can turn red or blue at any minute, it the fact that 40% believe that Obama can make changes in this country, which is pretty awesome for him, compared to the 29% who believe McCain can. 16% said they both could and 12% said neither could. Hmmm... well, they'll make changes alright, but will they be good ones is the question. With these facts, it's plainly clear that Ohio could swing either way come November 4th.
Ever since the closeness of the 2000 election, Florida has been known as a swing state.  And look what's happened again! The race between Obama and McCain is SO close. Obama is leading with 49% but here comes McCain with 48%. Whoa! Talk about neck and neck! What's interesting is last week in Flordia, Obama was leading by 6 points. This goes to show that a lot can happen in just a week. The closeness of this race makes it for sure toss up state again as well as the fact that 15% percent of people believe they still might change their minds. Although Florida has elected a Republican in the past two election, it is not clear to see whether they will again. Florida in general probably wants new immigration changes and so they may see Obama as their contender.
These states are still of for grabs because they are going in a different direction than most would think they would. The issue of the economy, as well as national security is a large concern still. Florida has 27 electoral votes, which, as seen in the 2000 election, can make a HUGE difference. Well, Florida will most likely be Democrat for sure! I think that since they voted for both of George W. Bush's terms, they'd think it'd be a mistake to let another Republican into the White House. I guess it's like a "let's not make the same mistake three times" kind of thing. For Ohio, I think it's still pretty tough to say. Like I said before, a lot can happen in a week, and Obama could totally take over. My guess is that Ohio will possibly lean fully Democrat because those undecided will mostly see Obama as the young, new guy, who makes good speeches and so he can probably run our country, which could be true. But it also depends on who those undecided are. Are they mostly women? Are they mostly voters not much older than 18? In this case, the undecided could make all the difference.

3 comments:

Votre lit est fait said...

Whoa! I learned so much about Ohio and why it is a swing state. I have always heard people talk about it and that it is swing state but i never fully comprehended why. Thanks girl! I feel so informed. I really like the lengths of your post, it covers a lot of ground. Kudos!

jhagstrom said...

Hey hey Molly! You put tons of really good info in your blogs. I love it! When I am done reading them, I feel as though I finally understand what the heck is going on. :)
I am still unsure about Florida. Like you, I think that they will swing Democratic, but there's this litte voice that keeps saying, "watch out for McCain!" I think I still have doubts becasue of the state's history to vote Republican. Oh well, who knows.
It will be really interesting to see who gets this state.

Anonymous said...

I am so anxious about this election, i cannot believe that it is so close. I am going crazy, like we will know who the next President is in less than a week! How intense.
I think your blogs are genius. You're awesome.